Bills at Titans NFL Week 6 Odds, Picks , Match Up , Projections

 

Bills at Titans NFL Week 6 Odds, Spreads, Picks , Match Up , Projections :The AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills (4-1) will meet against the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans (3-2) on Monday Night Footbal, October 18, 2021 at Nissan Stadium.

 

Why should you pick Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen and his talented offensive group can score more against Tennessee defense that’s been bad all season and is allowing 377.4 total yards per game overall.
Ryan Tannehill has now had to play with a short-handed receiving stars for two consecutive games, as Julio Jones and A.J. Brown are sidelined. Brown did return to action and could be joined by Jones with the extra day to prepare for this game . Derrick Henry continues to do heavy lifting Tennessee’s offense on his shoulders for the most games. He has four straight 100-yard efforts and seven TD through five games, although he could be challenged by Buffalo defense that’s yielding the third-fewest rushing yards per game (78.4) and 3.7 yards per carry.

 

 

Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at Tennessee Titans – 8:15 p.m. ET

 

Check Live Score , Odds for All sports books View Match up & Projections

 

  • Bills has played five games, with five wins against the spread.
  • This year, the Bills put up 8.4 more points per game (34.4) than the Titans give up (26).
  • Buffalo is 5-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall in games when it scores more than 26 points.
  • When Bills racked up over 378  yards, the team is 4-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall.
  •  Bills have four turnovers this season, equal to the number of takeaways for the Titans.

 

  • Against the spread, : Titans is 3-2-0 this season.
  •  Titans won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
  • The Titans rack up 137.4 more yards per game (389.2) than the Bills allow (251.8).
  • When Titans has over 251.8 yards, the team is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall.
  • The Titans have 7  giveaways this season, while the Bills have 15 takeaways.

Analysis

Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill says their offense is trending in the right direction.

The Buffalo Bills’ defense will be the ultimate judge of that when the teams meet on Monday night in Nashville, Tenn.

Tennessee (3-2) owns a comfortable two-game lead in the putrid AFC South thanks largely to NFL rushing leader Derrick Henry, who has rushed for 640 yards and is aiming for his fifth consecutive 100-yard game.

But the Titans remain a work in progress. No team has allowed more sacks than their 20, and their receiving corps isn’t close to being at full strength. Julio Jones has just returned to practice after missing two games with a hamstring injury and A.J. Brown isn’t yet at 100 percent, although he played last week despite a hamstring problem.

Now Tennessee faces a defense that leads the NFL in fewest points allowed per game (12.8), yards allowed per game (251.8) and takeaways (15). An offense some thought could be the equal of 1980s Air Coryell or the 2000s Greatest Show on Turf will have to tighten things up to avoid the fate of Buffalo’s last four opponents, two of whom have been blanked.

“They do just about everything well,” Tannehill said. “You see them getting after the quarterback, see them solid in the run game, tight coverage on the back end, great in the red zone, great on third down. Really just an all-around solid defense.”

And the Bills’ offense is no fun to deal with, either. After a shaky first two games, Josh Allen has gone back to the form he flashed in 2020, when he was perhaps the NFL’s top breakout player. Allen threw for 315 yards and three touchdowns in a 38-20 romp at Kansas City in Week 5.

Buffalo (4-1) leads the league in scoring at 34.4 ppg while ranking fifth in rushing (140.4) and eighth in total yardage (410.4). Devin Singletary, Allen and Zack Moss give the team a potent rushing attack, while the addition of Emmanuel Sanders and the emergence of tight end Dawson Knox as a big-play threat in the passing game have only made the Bills even more dangerous.

“He’s just making plays,” Allen said of Knox, who’s averaging 14.5 yards on 18 receptions, with five touchdowns. “He’s getting open and I trust him. I trusted him ever since I’ve known him, but I think he’s trusting himself now.”

However, the game’s texture likely will be determined by what happens when the Titans aim Henry at the AFC East leaders. While Buffalo has limited Henry to an average of 63.7 yards per game in the last three years, it also knows Henry needs just one carry to change the outcome of any game.

Defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier, whose unit is ranked third against the run (78.4 yards per game), says preparing for Henry and Tennessee is different because of its run-first emphasis.

“Completely different style of offense that’s centered around their running back as opposed to their receivers and quarterback, so it will be a challenge,” Frazier said. “We’re going to have our hands full trying to contain him.”

The teams met last year during Week 5 in a game postponed to a Tuesday night because of the Titans’ COVID-19 outbreak. Tennessee played perhaps its best game of the year, routing the Bills 42-16 in Nashville.